The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Los Angeles Angels hold a record of 73-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +56.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $50 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record73-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size89 games
ROI+56.6%
Units Won+50.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-4-00.0%-4.5%
20157-0-00.0%+90.9%
201611-4-00.0%+40.0%
20177-1-00.0%+67.0%
20187-2-00.0%+48.5%
20195-0-00.0%+90.9%
20209-1-00.0%+71.8%
20218-4-00.0%+27.3%
20224-0-00.0%+90.9%
20235-0-00.0%+90.9%
20246-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Angels' remarkable success as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When this franchise wins on the road or at home, they return to Angel Stadium with renewed confidence, particularly when oddsmakers still view them as the lesser team. The home crowd feeds off recent success, creating an electric atmosphere that elevates role players and provides crucial late-inning energy. Historically, the Angels have thrived when expectations remain tempered. Their roster construction often features streaky offensive players who can catch fire in bunches, making them dangerous when riding positive momentum. The home ballpark dimensions favor their typical power-hitting approach, and their pitching staff tends to perform better with familiar surroundings and crowd support backing recent success. The betting market consistently undervalues teams coming off wins, especially when that team plays at home. Books often overcompensate for perceived weaknesses, creating inflated underdog odds that don't reflect the psychological edge momentum provides. This trend carries maximum weight during the middle months of the season when the Angels are fighting for playoff positioning, as desperation meets opportunity in the most profitable combination for contrarian bettors.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Los Angeles Angels have an outstanding 73-16-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 82.0% ATS win rate over 89 games in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Angels as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 56.6% ROI. This represents exceptional value, significantly outperforming typical sports betting returns over the 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 82.0% ATS win rate substantially exceeds the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. The Angels' consistency in this spot makes it one of the most reliable betting trends in MLB over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.