The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Los Angeles Angels hold a record of 172-33-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $123 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record172-33-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size205 games
ROI+60.2%
Units Won+123.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201417-5-00.0%+47.5%
201515-0-00.0%+90.9%
201621-8-00.0%+38.2%
201720-3-00.0%+66.0%
201816-5-00.0%+45.5%
201914-4-00.0%+48.5%
202018-2-00.0%+71.8%
202116-5-00.0%+45.5%
202211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20239-1-00.0%+71.8%
202415-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Angels' dominance as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of market inefficiency and organizational characteristics that create consistent value. When oddsmakers set the Angels as home dogs, they're typically factoring in perceived weaknesses like pitching depth or recent struggles, but the market consistently undervalues how well this franchise performs when backed against the wall at Angel Stadium. The psychological element cannot be understated. Angels players have historically responded to the underdog role with elevated intensity, particularly in front of their home crowd. The organization's culture, built around star players like Mike Trout, tends to galvanize when disrespected by the betting market. Angel Stadium's unique dimensions and familiar conditions give the home team subtle advantages that aren't always reflected in the odds, especially against visiting teams dealing with West Coast travel fatigue. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Angels are getting disrespected by a line that doesn't account for their home-field resilience. Look for spots where recent road struggles or rotation concerns have inflated their underdog status beyond what's justified by their actual home performance capabilities. This trend matters most when the Angels face quality opponents during stretches where their recent form suggests they should be competitive, yet the market continues to fade them at home.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as home underdog?

The Los Angeles Angels have an ATS record of 172-33-0 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an outstanding 83.9% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Angels as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 60.2% ROI. Despite their poor overall performance, they consistently exceed expectations when playing at home as underdogs.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Angels' 83.9% ATS rate as home underdogs is exceptionally high and represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.