The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Los Angeles Angels are just 77-363-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -66.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +66.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record77-363-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size440 games
ROI-66.6%
Units Won-293.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-30-00.0%-52.3%
20158-38-00.0%-66.8%
20169-32-00.0%-58.1%
20172-34-00.0%-89.4%
20186-32-00.0%-69.9%
20193-28-00.0%-81.5%
20207-36-00.0%-68.9%
20216-25-00.0%-63.0%
20225-38-00.0%-77.8%
202313-36-00.0%-49.4%
20248-34-00.0%-63.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Angels' disastrous performance as favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between public perception and organizational reality. Despite boasting generational talents like Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the franchise has consistently failed to build complete rosters, leaving glaring holes in pitching depth and defensive reliability. When oddsmakers set the Angels as favorites, they're often reacting to star power rather than team construction, creating inflated lines that savvy bettors can exploit. The psychological element compounds this structural problem. Angels teams have repeatedly crumbled under the weight of expectations, particularly in games where they're supposed to dominate. Their bullpen collapses and defensive miscues become magnified when facing inferior opponents, as the pressure to justify favorite status exposes their fundamental weaknesses. The organization's perpetual "win-now" mentality has led to patchwork rosters that look impressive on paper but lack the cohesion necessary for consistent performance. Bettors should view Angels favorites as systematic fade opportunities, particularly when the line suggests they should dominate weaker opponents. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and series where the Angels face teams with superior organizational depth, regardless of individual talent disparities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as as favorite?

The Los Angeles Angels have an ATS record of 77-363-0 when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 77 out of 440 games. This represents a dismal 17.5% cover rate over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as as favorite profitable?

Betting on the Angels as favorites has been extremely unprofitable, generating a -66.6% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately two-thirds of their bankroll backing the Angels when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Angels' 17.5% ATS cover rate as favorites is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. Their -66.6% ROI represents one of the worst performances for any team in this situation over the past decade.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.