The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Kansas City Royals are just 139-146-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record139-146-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size286 games
ROI-6.9%
Units Won-19.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-13-00.0%-17.0%
201514-12-10.0%+2.8%
20169-20-00.0%-40.8%
201712-14-00.0%-11.9%
201814-13-00.0%-1.0%
201910-16-00.0%-26.6%
202011-11-00.0%-4.5%
202118-8-00.0%+32.2%
202212-16-00.0%-18.2%
202314-11-00.0%+6.9%
202415-12-00.0%+6.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' struggles with extended rest reflect a franchise built around momentum and rhythm rather than raw talent depth. Kansas City has historically relied on scrappy, contact-heavy lineups and opportunistic pitching staffs that thrive on consistent game flow. When given three or more days off, these players lose their timing at the plate and their pitchers lose command of secondary offerings that require regular work to maintain effectiveness. The organizational philosophy under different regimes has emphasized aggressive baserunning and situational hitting - skills that deteriorate quickly without regular repetition. Extended breaks disrupt the chemistry between catchers and pitchers, particularly problematic for a team that has often relied on veteran battery combinations and defensive positioning to overcome talent deficits. The Royals' bullpen construction, frequently featuring converted starters and command-oriented relievers, suffers disproportionately from layoffs compared to power arms that can maintain velocity regardless of rest. Bettors should target the Royals' opponents coming off long breaks, especially when Kansas City faces teams with superior talent that can capitalize on rust. This trend carries the most weight during early season series after weather postponements and following All-Star breaks when the Royals' timing-dependent approach faces maximum disruption.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Kansas City Royals have gone 139-146-1 against the spread when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.8% ATS win rate over 286 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Kansas City Royals with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -6.9% ROI over the past decade. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against betting expectations in this scenario.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Royals' 48.8% ATS win rate with extended rest is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. Their -6.9% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads in this situation more often than the typical team.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.