The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the Kansas City Royals are just 46-76-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -28.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +28.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record46-76-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size122 games
ROI-28.0%
Units Won-34.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-6-00.0%-4.5%
20153-5-00.0%-28.4%
20163-5-00.0%-28.4%
20178-8-00.0%-4.5%
20182-7-00.0%-57.6%
20194-6-00.0%-23.6%
20203-6-00.0%-36.4%
20214-6-00.0%-23.6%
20220-7-00.0%-100.0%
20235-6-00.0%-13.2%
20248-14-00.0%-30.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' struggles on two days rest stem from their organizational philosophy that has historically prioritized player development and long-term health over short-term competitive advantages. Kansas City's front office has consistently maintained conservative approaches to pitcher usage and roster management, often pulling starters earlier and relying heavily on their bullpen depth. When operating on shortened rest, this strategy backfires as their relievers become overextended and less effective in crucial late-game situations. The team's offensive profile compounds these issues significantly. The Royals have built their identity around contact hitting and manufacturing runs rather than explosive offensive output. This approach requires precise timing and rhythm from hitters, both of which suffer when players are dealing with the physical and mental fatigue that comes with compressed schedules. Their lack of power depth means they can't compensate for sloppy execution with big innings. Bettors should target fading Kansas City specifically when they're playing divisional opponents on two days rest, as these games carry higher intensity and the Royals' conservative approach becomes most pronounced against familiar competition. This trend matters most during summer months when schedule congestion peaks and the cumulative effects of their cautious roster management become most apparent.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as two days rest?

The Kansas City Royals have an ATS record of 46-76-0 when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 37.7% ATS win rate over 122 games.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Kansas City Royals with two days rest has not been profitable. The team has produced a -28.0% ROI with a 0% win rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams typically hover around 50% ATS. The Royals' 37.7% ATS rate with two days rest represents one of the worst situational trends in baseball.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.