Kansas City Royals Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Kansas City Royals hold a record of 167-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +86.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $148 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 18-1-0 | 0.0% | +80.9% |
| 2016 | 19-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 16-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 17-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 16-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 10-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 16-1-0 | 0.0% | +79.7% |
| 2022 | 15-1-0 | 0.0% | +79.0% |
| 2023 | 14-1-0 | 0.0% | +78.2% |
| 2024 | 13-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Kansas City Royals' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to maximize talent when expectations are lowest. Historically, the Royals have thrived in underdog scenarios because their roster construction often features scrappy, fundamentally sound players who excel in high-pressure situations where they have nothing to lose. This mentality was epitomized during their 2014-2015 World Series runs, when the team consistently outperformed expectations against superior opponents. Kansas City's success in these spots also reflects their strong bullpen depth and defensive fundamentals, which become magnified advantages in close games where every play matters. When oddsmakers set the Royals as massive underdogs, it typically indicates a significant talent disparity on paper, but baseball's variance-heavy nature allows fundamentally sound teams to exploit small margins through execution and timely hitting. The psychological edge cannot be understated - players perform differently when they're written off completely versus being slight underdogs. The complete absence of pressure allows Kansas City to play loose, aggressive baseball while their opponents may press or play conservatively with heavy expectations. This trend matters most during interleague play and against playoff-contending teams in the final months of the season, when the talent gap appears widest but motivation levels can shift dramatically.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Kansas City Royals have an ATS record of 167-4-0 when they are large underdogs of +7.5 runs or more from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 97.7% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Kansas City Royals as large underdogs (+7.5+) has been extremely profitable with an 86.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This means a $100 bet on each game would have generated $86.40 in profit over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is extraordinarily above league average, as most teams struggle to cover large spreads consistently. The Royals' 97.7% ATS win rate as big underdogs is virtually unmatched in modern baseball betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.