Kansas City Royals Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Kansas City Royals are just 8-42-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -69.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +69.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2018 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2020 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2024 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Royals' catastrophic performance as home favorites on zero rest reveals a franchise fundamentally unprepared for high-pressure situations when physically compromised. Kansas City's organizational philosophy has historically emphasized scrappy, fundamentally sound baseball rather than star power, which creates a dangerous dynamic when the betting market expects them to dominate weaker opponents after travel. Zero rest scenarios expose the Royals' lack of depth, particularly in their bullpen and bench. When key players are fatigued from travel, Kansas City lacks the elite talent to compensate, yet oddsmakers still install them as favorites based on home field advantage and opponent quality. This creates inflated lines that savvy bettors can exploit. The psychological component cannot be ignored either. The Royals have cultivated an underdog mentality throughout their recent history, performing better when expectations are low. Being favored, especially at home after travel, places unfamiliar pressure on a clubhouse more comfortable grinding out victories as underdogs. Smart bettors should target Kansas City's opponents when the Royals are home favorites following road trips, particularly against divisional rivals who understand their vulnerabilities. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when travel fatigue compounds with heat and humidity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Kansas City Royals have an 8-42-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 16% ATS win rate over 50 games.
Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Kansas City Royals as home favorites on zero rest is not profitable. The -69.5% ROI indicates significant losses for bettors backing this trend.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below league average, as most teams typically hover around 50% ATS. The Royals' 16% win rate in this situation represents one of the worst situational betting trends in baseball.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.