The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Kansas City Royals are just 214-227-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record214-227-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size441 games
ROI-7.4%
Units Won-32.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201416-14-00.0%+1.8%
201520-18-00.0%+0.5%
201618-22-00.0%-14.1%
201716-23-00.0%-21.7%
201824-24-00.0%-4.5%
201918-25-00.0%-20.1%
202018-23-00.0%-16.2%
202124-17-00.0%+11.8%
202220-23-00.0%-11.2%
202322-19-00.0%+2.4%
202418-19-00.0%-7.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' struggles at home against the spread reflect a franchise caught between rebuilding phases and market expectations that consistently inflate their perceived value. Kauffman Stadium's pitcher-friendly dimensions create an environment where games often play under totals, but this same factor leads oddsmakers to set tighter spreads that the Royals struggle to cover when their inconsistent offense fails to capitalize on favorable conditions. Kansas City's home performance issues stem largely from their feast-or-famine offensive approach. The team has historically relied on contact hitting and manufacturing runs, strategies that work better on the road where they can adapt to different environments and face varied pitching styles. At home, opposing teams have extensive scouting reports and can exploit the Royals' tendency to struggle against quality breaking balls, particularly in crucial late-game situations when spreads are decided. The psychological factor of playing in front of expectant home crowds has also hurt this young roster. Pressure to perform at Kauffman Stadium often leads to pressing at the plate and tentative pitching, creating the type of close losses that kill spread bettors. This trend matters most when the Royals are favored at home against divisional opponents, where familiarity breeds the kind of tight games that consistently fall short of inflated expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as home games?

The Kansas City Royals have a 214-227 ATS record in home games from 2014-2024, covering the spread 48.5% of the time. This represents 441 total home games over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as home games profitable?

No, betting on the Kansas City Royals in home games has not been profitable, showing a -7.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Royals to cover the spread at home.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the expected 50% ATS rate, as teams typically cover the spread approximately half the time. The Royals' 48.5% home ATS rate and negative ROI indicates they have consistently failed to meet betting expectations at Kauffman Stadium.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.