The data suggests caution when backing the Kansas City Royals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Kansas City Royals are just 185-214-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record185-214-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size399 games
ROI-11.5%
Units Won-45.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201418-23-00.0%-16.2%
201510-15-00.0%-23.6%
201613-25-00.0%-34.7%
201716-20-00.0%-15.2%
201814-26-00.0%-33.2%
201922-18-00.0%+5.0%
202016-12-00.0%+9.1%
202116-16-00.0%-4.5%
202223-24-00.0%-6.6%
202317-18-00.0%-7.3%
202420-17-00.0%+3.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Royals' struggles after losses stem from their historically inconsistent offensive approach and tendency to compound problems when momentum shifts against them. Kansas City has traditionally relied on manufacturing runs through speed and situational hitting rather than power, making them particularly vulnerable when facing quality pitching after a deflating loss. The psychological impact appears magnified because their small-ball style requires precise execution and confidence - qualities that often waver following disappointing defeats. The team's organizational culture has emphasized resilience, but their roster construction frequently lacks the veteran leadership needed to steady younger players after tough losses. Starting pitching depth has been another chronic issue, meaning bounce-back games often feature less reliable arms who struggle to keep the team competitive when offensive confidence is already shaken. The Royals also tend to face tighter markets after losses, as oddsmakers adjust for their predictable post-loss patterns. Smart bettors should focus on fading Kansas City when they're coming off losses to division rivals or games where they squandered late leads. The trend becomes most significant during summer months when roster fatigue combines with the psychological weight of mounting losses, particularly in series where they've dropped the opener.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Royals's ATS record as after a loss?

The Kansas City Royals have gone 185-214-0 against the spread (ATS) after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.4% ATS win rate over 399 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Kansas City Royals as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Kansas City Royals after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -11.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Royals in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 46.4% ATS rate is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The negative ROI indicates the Royals have been a poor ATS bet following losses compared to typical team performance.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.