The public often underestimates the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Houston Astros hold a record of 363-68-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $263 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record363-68-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size432 games
ROI+60.8%
Units Won+262.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201438-5-00.0%+68.7%
201535-10-10.0%+48.5%
201637-6-00.0%+64.3%
201733-6-00.0%+61.5%
201828-8-00.0%+48.5%
201935-8-00.0%+55.4%
202036-4-00.0%+71.8%
202127-5-00.0%+61.1%
202230-5-00.0%+63.6%
202331-3-00.0%+74.1%
202433-8-00.0%+53.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Astros' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational culture of analytical precision and championship pedigree. When bookmakers undervalue Houston, they're often overlooking the team's ability to optimize matchups through sophisticated data analysis and tactical adjustments. The franchise's investment in player development and analytics creates situational advantages that oddsmakers frequently miss, particularly when facing teams with inflated public perception. Houston's veteran leadership core thrives in undervalued spots, drawing from deep postseason experience where external expectations mean little. The team's pitching staff, built around elite development systems, consistently outperforms projections when properly motivated. Their hitters excel at working counts and capitalizing on opponent mistakes—skills that become magnified when facing overconfident favorites. The psychological edge cannot be understated. This organization has cultivated a "prove them wrong" mentality that manifests most clearly when disrespected by the betting market. Their recent championship runs have only reinforced this confidence, creating a feedback loop where underdog status actually enhances performance rather than diminishing it. This trend carries maximum value during divisional matchups and interleague play, where public bias toward marquee opponents creates the most significant line value for sharp bettors backing Houston.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as as underdog?

The Houston Astros have an ATS record of 363-68-1 when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 84.3% ATS win rate over 432 games.

Is betting on the Houston Astros as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Astros as underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 60.8% ROI. This means a $100 bet on every underdog game would have returned $160.80 on average.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly above league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS and break-even ROI. The Astros' 84.3% ATS rate and 60.8% ROI as underdogs represents elite contrarian value.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.