The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Houston Astros are just 449-455-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record449-455-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size906 games
ROI-5.2%
Units Won-46.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201445-46-10.0%-5.6%
201545-49-10.0%-8.6%
201644-42-00.0%-2.3%
201741-36-00.0%+1.6%
201837-47-00.0%-15.9%
201947-34-00.0%+10.8%
202043-47-00.0%-8.8%
202132-40-00.0%-15.2%
202241-37-00.0%+0.3%
202335-30-00.0%+2.8%
202439-47-00.0%-13.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Astros' mediocre Sunday performance against the spread reflects the unique challenges that come with baseball's traditional finale day. Sunday games often feature altered lineups as managers rest key players before Monday off days, disrupting Houston's typically methodical offensive approach. The team's reliance on veteran leadership and established routines makes them particularly susceptible to the casual atmosphere that pervades Sunday baseball, where urgency often takes a backseat to preparation for the week ahead. Houston's analytical front office has historically built rosters around maximizing every at-bat and defensive positioning, but Sunday's relaxed environment can neutralize these advantages. Opposing teams frequently throw different looks with bullpen games or spot starts, creating unfamiliar matchups that challenge the Astros' data-driven preparation. The team's home-heavy advantage also diminishes on Sundays when Minute Maid Park's intimate setting loses some intensity compared to Friday and Saturday crowds. Smart bettors should approach Astros Sunday totals rather than sides, as the unpredictable nature of lineups and pitching creates more reliable over/under opportunities. This trend carries the most weight during divisional series in April and May, when teams are still establishing rhythm and Sunday lineup experimentation is most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as sunday games?

The Houston Astros have a 449-455-2 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.7% ATS win rate over 906 total Sunday games.

Is betting on the Houston Astros as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Houston Astros in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -5.2% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Astros ATS on Sundays.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Astros' 49.7% Sunday ATS win rate is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point. Their -5.2% ROI suggests they've consistently failed to cover spreads on Sundays at a rate that would overcome the typical betting juice.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.