Houston Astros Two Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Houston Astros show mixed results as two days rest. Since 2014, they're 55-54-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.7%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2015 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2016 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2019 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2020 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2021 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2023 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2024 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Astros' mediocre performance on two days rest reflects the organization's strategic approach to roster management rather than any inherent weakness. Houston has consistently prioritized long-term player health over short-term scheduling advantages, often resting key veterans like José Altuve and Alex Bregman during compressed series. This conservative approach frequently leaves them with suboptimal lineups when facing teams that embrace the grind mentality of back-to-back games. Houston's pitching staff construction also works against them in these spots. The Astros have historically built their rotation around power arms who require extended recovery periods, making their fifth starters and long relievers more vulnerable when the schedule compresses. Unlike teams that develop versatile, innings-eating pitchers specifically for these situations, Houston's high-velocity approach creates natural fatigue points that oddsmakers often undervalue. The recent uptick in performance suggests the organization has adapted their preparation methods, likely incorporating better analytics around player workload management. Bettors should focus on Houston's opponent in these scenarios - teams with strong depth and experienced bench players tend to exploit the Astros' conservative rotation decisions. This trend carries the most weight during divisional series and late-season matchups when Houston's playoff positioning creates additional incentive to rest regulars.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as two days rest?
The Houston Astros have a 55-54-0 ATS record when playing on two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 50.5% ATS win rate over 109 games.
Is betting on the Houston Astros as two days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Astros with two days rest is not profitable, showing a -3.7% ROI despite their slightly above .500 ATS record. The negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors over the long term.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Astros' 50.5% ATS win rate with two days rest is slightly above the break-even point of 50% but below what's typically needed for profitability. Most successful betting trends require at least 52-53% ATS to overcome the standard -110 juice.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.