Houston Astros One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Houston Astros show mixed results as one day rest. Since 2014, they're 93-89-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-4-1 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 6-11-0 | 0.0% | -32.6% |
| 2016 | 13-11-0 | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2017 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2018 | 7-8-0 | 0.0% | -10.9% |
| 2019 | 14-5-0 | 0.0% | +40.7% |
| 2020 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 5-13-0 | 0.0% | -47.0% |
| 2022 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2024 | 9-5-0 | 0.0% | +22.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Astros' mediocre performance on one day of rest reflects the organization's analytical approach to roster management and their deep pitching infrastructure. Houston's front office has consistently prioritized long-term player health over short-term scheduling advantages, often resting key position players or using backup catchers when the regular starter needs recovery time. This conservative approach frequently puts them at a talent disadvantage against teams willing to push their stars harder in these spots. Houston's bullpen usage patterns also work against them in one-day rest scenarios. Manager Dusty Baker and previous skippers have shown reluctance to overextend high-leverage relievers on back-to-back days, sometimes forcing them to rely on lesser arms in crucial moments. The team's offensive philosophy compounds this issue - their patient, walk-heavy approach often leads to longer at-bats and higher pitch counts, which can backfire when facing well-rested opposing pitchers who attack the zone more aggressively. The key betting insight involves monitoring Houston's catching situation and bullpen usage from the previous game. When they're forced to start backup catchers or have used multiple high-leverage relievers, fade them against teams with rested lineups. This trend matters most during playoff races and interleague series when every game carries heightened importance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as one day rest?
The Houston Astros have gone 93-89-1 against the spread (ATS) when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.1% ATS win rate over 183 total games.
Is betting on the Houston Astros as one day rest profitable?
Betting on the Houston Astros on one day rest has not been profitable, showing a -2.5% ROI over the 11-year period. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Astros' 51.1% ATS win rate on one day rest is slightly above the typical 50% baseline, but the -2.5% ROI suggests underperformance when accounting for betting juice. Most successful betting situations require 52.4%+ win rates to overcome standard -110 odds.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.