Houston Astros Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Houston Astros hold a record of 363-68-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $263 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 38-5-0 | 0.0% | +68.7% |
| 2015 | 35-10-1 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2016 | 37-6-0 | 0.0% | +64.3% |
| 2017 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2018 | 28-8-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2019 | 35-8-0 | 0.0% | +55.4% |
| 2020 | 36-4-0 | 0.0% | +71.8% |
| 2021 | 27-5-0 | 0.0% | +61.1% |
| 2022 | 30-5-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2023 | 31-3-0 | 0.0% | +74.1% |
| 2024 | 33-8-0 | 0.0% | +53.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Astros' dominance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of thriving under pressure and proving doubters wrong. This franchise has built its identity around being underestimated, dating back to their rebuild years and carrying through their championship runs. When national television spotlights shine brightest and oddsmakers favor their opponents, Houston's veteran core responds with the kind of focused execution that separates elite teams from pretenders. Their analytical approach becomes particularly potent in these spots. The Astros' front office and coaching staff excel at identifying market inefficiencies, and primetime games often feature inflated lines based on public perception rather than true team strength. Houston's deep bullpen and clutch hitting historically perform better when the stakes feel highest, suggesting their preparation and mental approach intensify for marquee matchups. The psychological edge cannot be overstated. This team has repeatedly delivered in October, creating a confidence that translates to regular season primetime spots. When facing teams the public favors, Houston often benefits from opponents feeling additional pressure to justify their favored status. This trend carries maximum weight during division races and playoff pushes when primetime slots typically feature the most competitive, meaningful games where Houston's championship experience becomes their greatest asset.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Houston Astros have an ATS record of 363-68-1 when playing as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 84.3% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Houston Astros as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Houston Astros as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 60.8% ROI. This means for every $100 wagered, bettors would have earned approximately $60.80 in profit.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain even a 50% ATS win rate. The Astros' 84.3% success rate as primetime underdogs represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.