The public often underestimates the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Houston Astros hold a record of 76-55-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +10.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $14 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record76-55-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size131 games
ROI+10.8%
Units Won+14.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-6-00.0%+19.3%
20157-5-00.0%+11.4%
20168-4-00.0%+27.3%
20174-7-00.0%-30.6%
20185-5-00.0%-4.5%
20197-3-00.0%+33.6%
20206-5-00.0%+4.1%
20214-10-00.0%-45.5%
20228-3-00.0%+38.8%
20239-2-00.0%+56.2%
20248-5-00.0%+17.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Astros' strong performance as road underdogs against division rivals stems from their championship-caliber organizational culture that thrives under adversity. Houston's veteran core, built around players like Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman, has repeatedly demonstrated an ability to elevate their game in hostile environments where they're not expected to win. This mental toughness becomes particularly pronounced against AL West opponents who know Houston's tendencies intimately, forcing the Astros to dig deeper strategically. Manager Dusty Baker's playoff-tested approach shines in these scenarios, as he expertly manages his bullpen and makes tactical adjustments that catch division rivals off-guard. The Astros' analytical front office also provides crucial advantages in preparing for familiar opponents, identifying exploitable patterns that bookmakers may undervalue when setting lines for road division games. Their recent resurgence after the down 2021 season reflects the team's ability to adapt and maintain competitive fire even when facing public perception challenges. The psychological edge of proving doubters wrong, combined with their deep roster construction, makes them dangerous when getting plus-money on the road. This trend carries the most weight during the final two months of the season when division standings tighten and every game carries playoff implications, as Houston's championship experience becomes an invaluable asset in pressure-packed road environments.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as away vs division rival?

The Houston Astros have a 76-55-0 ATS record when playing as the away team against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 58.0% cover rate over 131 total games.

Is betting on the Houston Astros as away vs division rival profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Astros as the away team vs division rivals has been profitable with a 10.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their strong ATS performance, their actual win rate in these games is 0.0%.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 58.0% ATS cover rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. The 10.8% ROI indicates substantially better returns than the standard -110 betting juice would suggest.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.