The public often underestimates the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog on zero rest, the Houston Astros hold a record of 43-8-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +61.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $31 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record43-8-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size51 games
ROI+61.0%
Units Won+31.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-0-00.0%+90.9%
20157-0-00.0%+90.9%
20166-0-00.0%+90.9%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20184-3-00.0%+9.1%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20204-1-00.0%+52.7%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20223-0-00.0%+90.9%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20249-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Astros' exceptional performance as away underdogs on zero rest stems from their organizational culture of resilience and systematic preparation. Houston's front office has consistently built rosters with veteran leadership and mental toughness, qualities that become amplified in challenging road situations where they're not expected to win. The team's analytical approach to game planning allows them to quickly adjust between games, often identifying exploitable weaknesses in opposing pitching staffs during tight turnarounds. Zero rest scenarios typically favor teams with deep, well-conditioned rosters, and the Astros have maintained superior depth throughout their competitive window. Their bullpen management and ability to manufacture runs in small samples creates value against betting lines that often overweight the fatigue factor. The psychological edge of playing loose as underdogs, combined with Houston's proven track record in pressure situations, creates a perfect storm for covering spreads. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Houston's organizational strength often gets undervalued by oddsmakers in these specific spots, particularly when facing teams that haven't been tested in similar circumstances. This trend carries maximum weight during playoff races and interleague series where the Astros face unfamiliar opponents who may struggle to gameplan against their diverse offensive approach on short notice.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as away underdog on zero rest?

The Houston Astros have an exceptional 43-8-0 ATS record as away underdogs on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to an 84.3% ATS win rate across 51 games.

Is betting on the Houston Astros as away underdog on zero rest profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Astros as away underdogs on zero rest has been highly profitable with a 61.0% ROI. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 84.3% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. The 61.0% ROI indicates this trend has been one of the most profitable betting angles in MLB over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.