The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Houston Astros are just 224-227-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record224-227-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size451 games
ROI-5.2%
Units Won-23.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201422-24-00.0%-8.7%
201521-23-00.0%-8.9%
201628-18-00.0%+16.2%
201720-23-00.0%-11.2%
201817-21-00.0%-14.6%
201924-15-00.0%+17.5%
202017-24-00.0%-20.8%
202119-26-00.0%-19.4%
202216-15-00.0%-1.5%
202318-12-00.0%+14.6%
202422-26-00.0%-12.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Astros' mediocre performance against the spread when traveling after multiple wins stems from a combination of market overreaction and the inherent challenges of maintaining momentum on the road. Houston's recent success as a perennial contender means oddsmakers and the public tend to inflate their lines when they're riding hot streaks, particularly in hostile environments where the psychological edge shifts to the home team. The organization's analytical approach, while effective for long-term success, can work against them in these spots. The Astros often rest key players or manage workloads more aggressively when they've built confidence through recent wins, especially during grueling road trips. Their veteran-heavy roster, particularly in recent years, shows more pronounced effects from travel fatigue after emotional victories. Houston's tendency to face opponents' best pitchers on the road compounds this issue. Teams often align their rotation to counter the Astros' potent offense, and after consecutive wins, Houston may encounter more motivated opponents looking to play spoiler against a confident club. This trend matters most during summer months when travel fatigue peaks and against division rivals who know the Astros' tendencies intimately. Fading Houston in these specific road spots after wins has historically provided consistent value.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?

The Houston Astros have a 224-227 ATS record when playing away after winning 2 or more consecutive games from 2014-2024. This represents a slightly below-average performance against the spread in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Houston Astros as away after 2+ wins profitable?

No, betting on the Houston Astros away after 2+ wins is not profitable, showing a -5.2% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. The negative return indicates bettors would lose money following this trend consistently.

How does this compare to the league average?

This trend performs slightly worse than a typical 50% baseline, with the Astros covering the spread in approximately 49.7% of these situations. The -5.2% ROI suggests underperformance compared to break-even betting expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.