Houston Astros After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Houston Astros show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 215-208-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 20-19-0 | 0.0% | -2.1% |
| 2015 | 20-19-1 | 0.0% | -2.1% |
| 2016 | 22-19-0 | 0.0% | +2.4% |
| 2017 | 23-19-0 | 0.0% | +4.5% |
| 2018 | 17-18-0 | 0.0% | -7.3% |
| 2019 | 23-18-0 | 0.0% | +7.1% |
| 2020 | 24-19-0 | 0.0% | +6.5% |
| 2021 | 13-18-0 | 0.0% | -19.9% |
| 2022 | 18-24-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 12-14-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2024 | 23-21-0 | 0.0% | -0.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Astros' mediocre performance after victories stems from their organizational culture of consistent excellence rather than emotional volatility. As a perennially competitive franchise, Houston approaches each game with similar preparation and intensity regardless of the previous outcome. This steady-state mentality prevents the typical letdown scenarios that plague less disciplined teams, but it also eliminates the psychological boost that can create value in "bounce-back" spots. Houston's analytical front office constructs rosters built for sustained performance rather than streaky runs. Their veteran-heavy lineups and established rotation depth mean they rarely experience the dramatic swings in confidence that create exploitable betting patterns. The team's championship pedigree since 2017 has instilled a workmanlike approach where individual game results don't significantly impact preparation or execution. The slight negative return suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to Houston's emotional neutrality, occasionally inflating lines based on recency bias after impressive wins. Sharp bettors should consider fading the Astros when they're coming off dominant performances against weaker opponents, as public perception often overvalues their momentum. This trend becomes most relevant during playoff races and interleague series, where the Astros' measured approach can be mistaken for complacency by casual observers and bookmakers alike.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as after a win?
The Houston Astros have a 215-208-1 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 50.8% ATS win rate over 424 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Houston Astros as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Astros after a win has not been profitable, showing a -3.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is roughly average compared to league standards, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The slight edge in win rate is offset by the negative ROI, suggesting the Astros perform marginally below expectations when favored after wins.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.