Houston Astros After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Houston Astros are just 197-210-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 22-22-1 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 22-26-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2016 | 16-17-0 | 0.0% | -7.4% |
| 2017 | 16-16-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 16-26-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2019 | 20-13-0 | 0.0% | +15.7% |
| 2020 | 17-23-0 | 0.0% | -18.9% |
| 2021 | 13-19-0 | 0.0% | -22.4% |
| 2022 | 20-12-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2023 | 19-14-0 | 0.0% | +9.9% |
| 2024 | 16-22-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Astros' struggles after losses stem from their organizational culture of high expectations and analytical precision. When this championship-caliber franchise falls short, the pressure to immediately bounce back often creates overthinking rather than natural execution. Houston's reliance on data-driven approaches can become a hindrance in these emotional moments, as players may press too hard to correct statistical anomalies rather than trusting their instincts. The team's veteran leadership core, while typically an asset, can amplify the weight of losses through their championship experience. Players like José Altuve and Alex Bregman understand what's at stake in every game, creating internal pressure that manifests as tight performance the following day. This psychological burden is particularly evident when facing quality opponents who can exploit Houston's tendency to overcompensate after setbacks. Houston's pitching staff rotation also plays a role, as their ace-heavy approach means bounce-back games often fall to lesser starters who feel additional pressure to prevent losing streaks. The bullpen, while talented, sometimes overextends trying to salvage situations that spiral from early deficits. Smart bettors should target this trend most aggressively when Houston faces division rivals or playoff contenders after losses, as the psychological pressure intensifies significantly in these higher-stakes matchups.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as after a loss?
The Houston Astros have an ATS record of 197-210-1 after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a winning percentage of 48.4% against the spread in these situations.
Is betting on the Houston Astros as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Astros after a loss has not been profitable. The team has produced a -7.6% ROI over this period, indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The 48.4% win rate and negative ROI suggest the Astros consistently underperform expectations when bouncing back from losses.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.