Houston Astros After 2+ Consecutive Wins Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Astros in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive wins, the Houston Astros are just 448-455-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 44-46-1 | 0.0% | -6.7% |
| 2015 | 45-49-1 | 0.0% | -8.6% |
| 2016 | 44-42-0 | 0.0% | -2.3% |
| 2017 | 41-36-0 | 0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2018 | 37-47-0 | 0.0% | -15.9% |
| 2019 | 47-34-0 | 0.0% | +10.8% |
| 2020 | 43-47-0 | 0.0% | -8.8% |
| 2021 | 32-40-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2022 | 41-37-0 | 0.0% | +0.3% |
| 2023 | 35-30-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2024 | 39-47-0 | 0.0% | -13.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Astros' struggles after consecutive wins reveal a classic case of championship-caliber teams facing inflated expectations. Houston's analytical approach, which has driven their sustained success, creates a paradox when public perception overvalues their momentum. The betting market consistently overadjusts on the Astros following win streaks, particularly given their reputation as a perennial contender. This pattern stems from Houston's methodical, data-driven culture under their front office philosophy. Unlike teams that ride emotional waves, the Astros maintain consistent preparation regardless of recent results. However, oddsmakers and the public often interpret their consecutive wins as a sign of dominance, leading to inflated lines that don't reflect the true probability of outcomes in baseball's inherently volatile landscape. The franchise's analytical reputation also works against bettors in these spots. Sharp money often assumes Houston's front office has identified favorable matchups during win streaks, creating additional line movement that rarely provides value. The team's steady approach means they're neither as hot as consecutive wins suggest nor as likely to maintain that pace as the market believes. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when sample sizes are larger and playoff implications aren't driving additional motivation or roster management decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Astros's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive wins?
The Houston Astros have a 448-455-2 ATS record after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.6% win rate against the spread in this situation.
Is betting on the Houston Astros as after 2+ consecutive wins profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Astros after 2+ consecutive wins is not profitable, with a -5.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Astros in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Astros' 49.6% win rate and negative ROI suggests the betting market may overvalue them after winning streaks.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.