Detroit Tigers Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Tigers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large favorite (-7.5+), the Detroit Tigers are just 8-152-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -90.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +90.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-17-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-12-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-16-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-16-0 | 0.0% | -88.8% |
| 2018 | 1-12-0 | 0.0% | -85.3% |
| 2019 | 2-11-0 | 0.0% | -70.6% |
| 2020 | 0-13-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-13-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-16-0 | 0.0% | -88.8% |
| 2023 | 1-13-0 | 0.0% | -86.4% |
| 2024 | 2-13-0 | 0.0% | -74.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Tigers' catastrophic performance as large favorites stems from fundamental organizational instability and roster construction issues that plagued the franchise during their rebuilding years. When Detroit found itself laying significant chalk, it typically occurred against bottom-tier opponents during brief hot streaks or when their rotation aligned favorably on paper. However, the team's lack of consistent offensive depth and bullpen reliability created perfect storm conditions for letdowns against inferior competition. Detroit's psychological makeup during this period reflected a franchise caught between competitive windows. Players often pressed when expectations mounted, while the organization's focus on development over winning created an environment where maintaining intensity against weaker opponents proved challenging. The Tigers' tendency to rely heavily on veteran leadership that was either aging or unmotivated compounded these issues when facing teams with nothing to lose. The most telling factor is Detroit's inability to capitalize on favorable pitching matchups that typically create these large spreads. Their offense consistently failed to provide adequate run support, turning what should have been comfortable victories into nail-biting affairs that rarely covered inflated numbers. This trend matters most when Detroit faces rebuilding teams during interleague play or against division rivals in meaningless late-season series, where motivation discrepancies become most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Tigers's ATS record as large favorite (-7.5+)?
The Detroit Tigers have an ATS record of 8-152-0 when favored by 7.5 runs or more from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate against the spread in these situations.
Is betting on the Detroit Tigers as large favorite (-7.5+) profitable?
No, betting on the Detroit Tigers as large favorites is extremely unprofitable with a -90.5% ROI. This means bettors would lose approximately 90 cents for every dollar wagered on Detroit in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as MLB teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Tigers' 0.0% ATS rate as large favorites represents one of the worst betting trends in recent baseball history.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.