The public often underestimates the Detroit Tigers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Detroit Tigers hold a record of 84-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +57.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $58 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record84-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size102 games
ROI+57.2%
Units Won+58.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-2-00.0%+36.4%
201515-2-00.0%+68.5%
201610-4-00.0%+36.4%
20174-2-00.0%+27.3%
20187-1-00.0%+67.0%
20195-0-00.0%+90.9%
20207-0-00.0%+90.9%
20214-1-00.0%+52.7%
20229-4-00.0%+32.2%
20239-1-00.0%+71.8%
20249-1-00.0%+71.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Tigers' dominance as home underdogs following victories stems from a perfect storm of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. Detroit teams have historically thrived on the energy of Comerica Park's passionate fanbase, particularly when oddsmakers underestimate their ability to sustain winning streaks. The franchise's blue-collar identity resonates strongly with home crowds, creating an atmosphere that elevates performance when the team enters with confidence from a recent win. Market perception plays a crucial role here. The Tigers have often been viewed as a rebuilding franchise in recent years, leading books to consistently undervalue their home field advantage when they're riding momentum. This creates inflated underdog prices that don't properly account for Detroit's ability to capitalize on positive energy at home. The team's young core has shown remarkable resilience in these spots, feeding off crowd support and the psychological boost of entering as the "disrespected" home team. Bettors should target this trend most aggressively during mid-season stretches when the Tigers are showing signs of competitive baseball but still carrying the reputation of an underachieving club. The sweet spot occurs when Detroit faces quality opponents at home after a solid victory, as books often overcompensate for the visiting team's perceived superiority.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Tigers's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Detroit Tigers have an 84-18-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 82.4% ATS win rate over 102 games.

Is betting on the Detroit Tigers as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Detroit Tigers as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 57.2% ROI. This represents exceptional value over the 10-year period from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 82.4% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. The Tigers' performance in this specific situation represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.