The data suggests caution when backing the Colorado Rockies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Colorado Rockies are just 22-111-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -68.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +68.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record22-111-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size133 games
ROI-68.4%
Units Won-91.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-12-00.0%-72.7%
20153-9-00.0%-52.3%
20161-10-00.0%-82.6%
20170-12-00.0%-100.0%
20184-10-00.0%-45.5%
20194-10-00.0%-45.5%
20201-14-00.0%-87.3%
20212-13-00.0%-74.5%
20224-5-00.0%-15.2%
20230-8-00.0%-100.0%
20241-8-00.0%-78.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Colorado Rockies' catastrophic performance as medium favorites stems from fundamental organizational deficiencies that become magnified when expectations rise. Playing at Coors Field creates a unique psychological burden where the team must overcome both altitude-adjusted expectations and the inherent volatility of their home ballpark. When installed as medium favorites, the Rockies face opponents who are typically road-tested and motivated to exploit Colorado's defensive inconsistencies and bullpen weaknesses. The franchise's chronic inability to develop reliable pitching depth becomes most apparent in these spots. Medium favorite lines typically reflect games where Colorado should dominate, but their pitchers often struggle to maintain leads in the thin air, while their offense fails to provide the explosive scoring needed to cover inflated spreads. The psychological weight of being favored appears to amplify their tendency toward mental errors and poor situational hitting. Savvy bettors should view Colorado as a medium favorite as an automatic fade opportunity, particularly in divisional matchups where opponents know their weaknesses intimately. This trend carries the most significance during home stands in the summer months when Coors Field's offensive effects are most pronounced, yet the Rockies consistently fail to capitalize on their environmental advantages.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Colorado Rockies's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?

The Colorado Rockies have a 22-111-0 ATS record when favored by 3.5 to 7 runs from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate against the spread in this situation.

Is betting on the Colorado Rockies as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?

No, betting on the Colorado Rockies as medium favorites is extremely unprofitable with a -68.4% ROI. This means bettors would lose approximately 68 cents for every dollar wagered over this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as the Rockies have failed to cover the spread in all 133 games as medium favorites. Most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads, making Colorado's 0% rate historically poor.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.