The data suggests caution when backing the Colorado Rockies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Colorado Rockies are just 12-38-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -54.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +54.2%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record12-38-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size50 games
ROI-54.2%
Units Won-27.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20151-4-00.0%-61.8%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20170-3-00.0%-100.0%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20190-6-00.0%-100.0%
20201-7-00.0%-76.1%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockies' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from a perfect storm of altitude-related fatigue and roster construction issues. Playing at Coors Field's 5,280-foot elevation creates unique physiological demands that compound when players have no recovery time between games. The thin air forces players to work harder for oxygen, making back-to-back games particularly taxing for a team already dealing with the altitude's effects daily. Colorado's historically shallow pitching depth exacerbates this problem significantly. When favored at home on zero rest, the Rockies often rely on tired bullpen arms or rushed starting pitchers who haven't had adequate recovery time. The altitude that can benefit their offense by making balls carry further becomes a liability for pitching, as tired arms lose command and velocity more dramatically in the thin air. The psychological aspect cannot be ignored either. The Rockies have developed a pattern of underperforming in these spots, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy where the team and oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted expectations. Players may subconsciously ease up when favored at home, assuming Coors Field's offensive environment will bail them out. This trend matters most during summer months when day games following night games create the most severe fatigue scenarios, particularly against well-rested visiting teams.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Colorado Rockies's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?

The Colorado Rockies have an ATS record of 12-38-0 (24.0% win rate) as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst ATS trends in baseball over this period.

Is betting on the Colorado Rockies as home favorite on zero rest profitable?

No, betting on the Colorado Rockies as home favorites on zero rest is highly unprofitable with a -54.2% ROI. This trend has lost money consistently, making it a strong fade opportunity.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in similar situations. The Rockies' 24% ATS rate in this spot represents an extreme negative outlier that bettors should avoid.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.