The data suggests caution when backing the Colorado Rockies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Colorado Rockies are just 78-347-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -65.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +65.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record78-347-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size426 games
ROI-65.0%
Units Won-276.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-29-00.0%-58.7%
201512-34-00.0%-50.2%
20163-30-00.0%-82.6%
20176-29-10.0%-67.3%
20189-30-00.0%-55.9%
20196-30-00.0%-68.2%
20207-36-00.0%-68.9%
20219-37-00.0%-62.6%
20225-31-00.0%-73.5%
20236-30-00.0%-68.2%
20247-31-00.0%-64.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockies' dismal performance as favorites stems from a perfect storm of altitude-related inconsistencies and organizational shortcomings that create false market confidence. Playing at Coors Field creates an illusion of offensive prowess that inflates their odds when favored, particularly against teams with strong pitching staffs who can neutralize the thin-air advantage. The franchise's chronic inability to develop reliable starting pitching means they often enter games as favorites based solely on offensive metrics, ignoring their vulnerability to quality arms. Colorado's struggles intensify when expectations rise because their roster construction has historically favored boom-or-bust players who thrive in low-pressure situations but crumble under the weight of being expected to win. The team's road performance typically deteriorates dramatically when they're favored away from Coors, as their hitters struggle to adjust to normal atmospheric conditions while maintaining the aggressive approach that works at altitude. Smart bettors should view Colorado as a fade candidate whenever they're listed as road favorites or home favorites against teams with above-average starting pitching. This trend becomes most exploitable during interleague play and against American League opponents unfamiliar with Coors Field's unique conditions, where the market often overvalues the Rockies' home-field advantage.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Colorado Rockies's ATS record as as favorite?

The Colorado Rockies have an ATS record of 78-347-1 when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 18.3% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances by any team in a specific situation over this timeframe.

Is betting on the Colorado Rockies as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Colorado Rockies as favorites has been extremely unprofitable with a -65.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 65 cents for every dollar wagered on the Rockies when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time as favorites. The Rockies' 18.3% cover rate and -65.0% ROI represents an extreme outlier in negative betting value.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.