The Cleveland Guardians show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 228-216-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record228-216-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size444 games
ROI-2.0%
Units Won-8.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201428-22-00.0%+6.9%
201518-21-00.0%-11.9%
201628-17-00.0%+18.8%
201717-25-00.0%-22.7%
201822-14-00.0%+16.7%
201921-25-00.0%-12.8%
202019-19-00.0%-4.5%
202117-20-00.0%-12.3%
202219-19-00.0%-4.5%
202316-18-00.0%-10.2%
202423-16-00.0%+12.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Guardians' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their organizational identity as a fundamentally sound, small-market team built around pitching, defense, and situational hitting. This approach thrives in the American League Central where they face familiar divisional rivals repeatedly, allowing their coaching staff to exploit known weaknesses and deploy specific matchup strategies. Against National League teams they rarely encounter, Cleveland loses these informational advantages that have become central to their competitive edge. The franchise's analytical approach also works against them in interleague play. Their pitchers study opposing hitters extensively, but lack the deep scouting reports they possess on AL Central batters they face 19 times annually. Meanwhile, Cleveland's contact-heavy offensive philosophy often struggles against NL pitchers who aren't accustomed to their patient, gap-to-gap approach, leading to awkward at-bats and missed opportunities with runners in scoring position. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Playing in unfamiliar ballparks with different dimensions and playing surfaces disrupts Cleveland's defensive positioning and outfield reads, areas where they typically excel. Their pitchers also lose the comfort of knowing exactly how balls carry in their home environment. This trend becomes most valuable when Cleveland faces NL teams during short interleague series where adaptation time is minimal.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The Cleveland Guardians have gone 228-216-0 against the spread when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.4% ATS win rate over 444 total games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

Betting on the Cleveland Guardians against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -2.0% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite a slightly positive ATS record, the negative return indicates poor long-term betting value.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Guardians' 51.4% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is slightly above the typical 50% baseline but below what's needed for profitability after accounting for betting juice. The -2.0% ROI suggests underperformance relative to betting market expectations.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.