The Cleveland Guardians show mixed results as vs division opponent. Since 2014, they're 144-135-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record144-135-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size279 games
ROI-1.5%
Units Won-4.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201417-10-00.0%+20.2%
201513-11-00.0%+3.4%
201617-13-00.0%+8.2%
201714-15-00.0%-7.8%
201812-6-00.0%+27.3%
201913-16-00.0%-14.4%
202015-15-00.0%-4.5%
20215-9-00.0%-31.8%
202211-18-00.0%-27.6%
202315-13-00.0%+2.3%
202412-9-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Guardians' mediocre divisional performance stems from their organizational identity as a fundamentally sound, small-market franchise that relies heavily on pitching depth and situational baseball rather than overwhelming talent. Against AL Central opponents who see them 19 times per season, Cleveland's tactical advantages diminish as division rivals become intimately familiar with their bullpen usage patterns, defensive alignments, and tendency to manufacture runs through stolen bases and hit-and-run plays. Cleveland's pitching-first approach creates particular challenges in divisional play where opposing hitters get extended looks at their rotation. The Guardians typically field competitive but not dominant staffs, making them vulnerable when teams like Minnesota or Chicago have multiple opportunities to time their starters' offerings. Their reliance on young, developing talent also means inconsistency against familiar foes who can exploit inexperience. The franchise's conservative spending philosophy often leaves them with roster gaps that become magnified over the long divisional grind. While they excel at finding value and developing players, division opponents can identify and attack these weaknesses repeatedly throughout the season. Bettors should be most cautious backing Cleveland in divisional series during the second half when their limitations become more apparent and opposing teams have gathered substantial scouting data on their evolving roster construction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The Cleveland Guardians have a 144-135-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.6% ATS win rate over 279 total games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as vs division opponent profitable?

Betting on the Cleveland Guardians against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -1.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates losses after accounting for betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Guardians' 51.6% ATS win rate against division opponents is slightly above the typical 50% baseline but below the ~52.4% threshold generally needed to overcome standard betting juice. This performance is roughly average compared to other MLB teams in divisional matchups.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.