The Cleveland Guardians show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 144-141-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record144-141-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size285 games
ROI-3.5%
Units Won-10.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-13-00.0%+2.3%
20158-14-00.0%-30.6%
201610-16-00.0%-26.6%
201712-12-00.0%-4.5%
201816-6-00.0%+38.8%
201911-15-00.0%-19.2%
202013-13-00.0%-4.5%
202113-13-00.0%-4.5%
202217-11-00.0%+15.9%
202316-14-00.0%+1.8%
202413-14-00.0%-8.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Guardians' struggles with extended rest stem from their organizational philosophy built around aggressive base-running, situational hitting, and maintaining rhythm through consistent play. Cleveland has historically thrived on manufacturing runs through stolen bases, hit-and-runs, and timely two-strike hitting - skills that deteriorate when players lose their timing during lengthy breaks. The team's younger core, particularly their speed-first outfielders and contact-oriented infielders, rely heavily on feel and instincts that get disrupted by extended downtime. Cleveland's pitching staff compounds this issue, as their rotation has consistently featured command-based hurlers rather than power arms. These finesse pitchers need regular work to maintain their precision, and extended rest often leads to early-inning walks and elevated pitch counts that stress the bullpen. The organization's emphasis on pitch-to-contact also means their starters typically work deeper into games during regular rest, but struggle to find their groove after layoffs. Bettors should target Cleveland as an underdog fade when they're coming off three-plus days of rest, especially in road games where they can't rely on familiar surroundings to regain their timing. This trend carries the most weight during playoff races and after All-Star breaks when extended rest becomes unavoidable.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Cleveland Guardians have gone 144-141-0 against the spread when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a nearly even split with a slight edge to the under.

Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Cleveland Guardians with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -3.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite the close ATS record, bettors would have lost money long-term.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below average, as most teams typically perform closer to 50% ATS with minimal negative ROI. The Guardians' -3.5% ROI in this situation suggests they consistently underperform expectations when well-rested.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.