The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Guardians in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as zero days rest, the Cleveland Guardians are just 98-103-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record98-103-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size201 games
ROI-6.9%
Units Won-13.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-5-00.0%+22.7%
20156-8-00.0%-18.2%
201615-8-00.0%+24.5%
201713-20-00.0%-24.8%
20186-6-00.0%-4.5%
201910-13-00.0%-17.0%
20209-10-00.0%-9.6%
20219-7-00.0%+7.4%
20227-12-00.0%-29.7%
20236-5-00.0%+4.1%
20248-9-00.0%-10.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Guardians' struggles on zero days rest stem from their organizational philosophy that prioritizes player development and long-term health over short-term competitive advantages. Cleveland's front office has consistently emphasized pitch counts and workload management, making them more likely to use bullpen arms or call up fresh talent rather than push veterans in back-to-back situations. This conservative approach often leaves them at a tactical disadvantage against teams willing to ride hot hands or extend their best performers. The team's historically thin roster depth compounds this issue. Unlike big-market clubs that can absorb the cost of carrying extra position players, the Guardians often find themselves with limited bench options when fatigue sets in during consecutive games. Their young core, while talented, lacks the experience to maintain peak performance without adequate rest, leading to diminished offensive production and defensive lapses that oddsmakers don't always fully account for in their lines. Bettors should target Cleveland's opponents when the Guardians are playing their second game in as many days, particularly during stretches when they're already dealing with injuries to key contributors. This trend becomes most critical during late-season playoff pushes when every game carries heightened importance but the team's conservative management style remains unchanged.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as zero days rest?

The Cleveland Guardians have an ATS record of 98-103-0 when playing on zero days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.8% ATS win rate over 201 total games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as zero days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Cleveland Guardians on zero days rest has not been profitable. The team shows a -6.9% ROI with a 48.8% ATS win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below average, as most MLB teams typically hover around 50% ATS. The Guardians' 48.8% rate on zero rest suggests they consistently underperform expectations in back-to-back situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.