The public often underestimates the Cleveland Guardians in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Cleveland Guardians hold a record of 360-66-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +61.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $262 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record360-66-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size427 games
ROI+61.3%
Units Won+261.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201435-7-00.0%+59.1%
201527-9-00.0%+43.2%
201640-6-00.0%+66.0%
201736-4-00.0%+71.8%
201835-7-10.0%+59.1%
201932-7-00.0%+56.6%
202033-8-00.0%+53.7%
202130-6-00.0%+59.1%
202228-2-00.0%+78.2%
202332-5-00.0%+65.1%
202432-5-00.0%+65.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cleveland Guardians' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a scrappy, fundamentally sound team that thrives when expectations are lowered. This franchise has consistently built rosters around contact hitting, aggressive baserunning, and opportunistic pitching rather than marquee stars, creating a perfect storm for outperforming inflated lines when facing perceived superior opponents under the bright lights. Cleveland's success in these spots reflects their ability to manufacture runs through small-ball tactics that become magnified in high-leverage situations. Their pitching staff, typically constructed around command and location rather than overpowering stuff, often neutralizes power-heavy opponents who struggle with adjusted approaches in primetime atmospheres. The psychological edge of playing loose as underdogs allows their young, athletic roster to execute their game plan without the pressure that accompanies favorite status. The betting market consistently undervalues Cleveland's systematic approach, particularly when they face big-market teams with inflated public perception. Sharp bettors should target Guardians primetime underdog spots when they're facing teams coming off emotional victories or playing in high-profile weekend series where casual money inflates the opposition's line beyond reasonable value.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Cleveland Guardians have an ATS record of 360-66-1 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 84.5% ATS win rate over 427 games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cleveland Guardians as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 61.3% ROI. This translates to a return of $613 for every $1,000 wagered over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as most teams struggle to maintain even 52-55% ATS win rates. The Guardians' 84.5% ATS rate as primetime underdogs represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.