The public often underestimates the Cleveland Guardians in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Cleveland Guardians hold a record of 87-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +61.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $63 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record87-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size103 games
ROI+61.2%
Units Won+63.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-1-00.0%+69.7%
20156-3-00.0%+27.3%
20169-1-00.0%+71.8%
20179-2-00.0%+56.2%
201811-3-00.0%+50.0%
201910-2-00.0%+59.1%
20208-0-00.0%+90.9%
20216-1-00.0%+63.6%
20224-0-00.0%+90.9%
20234-2-00.0%+27.3%
202412-1-00.0%+76.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Guardians' exceptional performance as away underdogs following wins stems from their organizational culture of resilience and systematic preparation. This franchise has historically excelled at maintaining momentum through strong clubhouse leadership and veteran presence, preventing the emotional letdowns that often plague teams after victories. Their player development system emphasizes mental toughness and situational awareness, creating rosters that thrive when expectations are lowered. Cleveland's strategic advantage emerges from their analytical approach to road games. The organization has consistently built teams around contact hitting, defensive versatility, and bullpen depth – attributes that translate exceptionally well to hostile environments where small margins determine outcomes. When playing as underdogs after wins, the team benefits from reduced external pressure while maintaining internal confidence, creating an ideal psychological state for peak performance. The franchise's financial constraints have historically forced them to maximize value from role players and younger talent, developing a scrappy identity that flourishes when doubted. This underdog mentality becomes amplified when oddsmakers undervalue their post-win capabilities on the road. This trend carries maximum betting value during the middle months of the season when sample sizes are meaningful but public perception hasn't fully adjusted to Cleveland's road resilience, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds contempt from opposing crowds.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Cleveland Guardians have an outstanding 87-16-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 84.5% ATS win rate over 103 games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cleveland Guardians as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 61.2% ROI. This represents one of the most consistent and profitable betting trends in baseball.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain even a 52-55% ATS win rate. The Guardians' 84.5% success rate in this situation is exceptionally rare and well above typical expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.