Cleveland Guardians After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Guardians in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Cleveland Guardians are just 180-201-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-18-0 | 0.0% | -16.5% |
| 2015 | 15-21-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2016 | 17-21-0 | 0.0% | -14.6% |
| 2017 | 15-21-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2018 | 23-13-1 | 0.0% | +22.0% |
| 2019 | 19-22-0 | 0.0% | -11.5% |
| 2020 | 16-22-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2021 | 16-20-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2022 | 10-11-0 | 0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2023 | 20-14-0 | 0.0% | +12.3% |
| 2024 | 15-18-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Guardians' struggles after losses stem from their organizational philosophy that prioritizes steady, methodical baseball over explosive responses. This franchise has historically built teams around contact hitting, defensive fundamentals, and situational pitching rather than power-driven comebacks. When facing adversity, Cleveland tends to stick with their systematic approach rather than making dramatic adjustments, which often leaves them vulnerable to oddsmakers who anticipate their predictable response patterns. The team's post-loss performance reflects deeper roster construction issues. Cleveland typically fields lineups with limited offensive firepower, meaning they can't simply slug their way out of tough stretches. Their pitching staff, while often solid, lacks the dominant ace-level talent that can single-handedly stop losing streaks. This creates a compounding effect where losses breed more losses against the spread, as the team lacks the personnel to dramatically shift momentum. The psychological component cannot be ignored either. Cleveland's small-market mentality often manifests as conservative game management after setbacks, with managers historically playing not to lose rather than aggressively pursuing wins. This defensive mindset frequently results in uninspiring performances that fail to cover spreads. This trend becomes most valuable for bettors during mid-season stretches when Cleveland faces quality opponents, as their methodical approach gets exposed against superior talent.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Guardians's ATS record as after a loss?
The Cleveland Guardians have an ATS record of 180-201-1 (47.2%) when betting on them after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents 382 total games in this situation over the 11-year period.
Is betting on the Cleveland Guardians as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Guardians after a loss is not profitable, showing a -9.8% ROI over this period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Cleveland in bounce-back spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Guardians' 47.2% ATS win rate after losses is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Their -9.8% ROI suggests they struggle more than most teams when trying to bounce back from defeats.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.