Cincinnati Reds As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cincinnati Reds in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Cincinnati Reds hold a record of 370-87-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +54.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $250 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 25-6-0 | 0.0% | +54.0% |
| 2015 | 32-5-0 | 0.0% | +65.1% |
| 2016 | 31-5-0 | 0.0% | +64.4% |
| 2017 | 33-10-0 | 0.0% | +46.5% |
| 2018 | 41-12-0 | 0.0% | +47.7% |
| 2019 | 35-12-1 | 0.0% | +42.2% |
| 2020 | 22-10-0 | 0.0% | +31.2% |
| 2021 | 41-8-0 | 0.0% | +59.7% |
| 2022 | 35-6-0 | 0.0% | +63.0% |
| 2023 | 45-9-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2024 | 30-4-0 | 0.0% | +68.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cincinnati Reds' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational culture of developing scrappy, fundamentally sound players who thrive when expectations are low. This franchise has historically built teams around pitching depth and situational hitting rather than marquee stars, creating lineups that opposing teams often underestimate. When oddsmakers set lines, they frequently overvalue the Reds' opponents based on name recognition and payroll differences, failing to account for Cincinnati's ability to manufacture runs and deploy effective bullpen management in tight games. The Reds' success as underdogs also reflects their home ballpark dynamics at Great American Ball Park, where visiting teams often struggle with the unique wind patterns and dimensions that favor Cincinnati's style of play. Their pitching staff typically includes several crafty veterans who excel at keeping games close, allowing the offense to capitalize on late-game opportunities when the pressure mounts on favored opponents. Smart bettors should target Cincinnati as underdogs specifically in divisional matchups and interleague play, where their familiarity with opponents and motivation to prove themselves creates the perfect storm for value. This trend carries maximum weight during the middle months of the season when the Reds are fighting for relevance while facing teams with higher expectations and corresponding public betting support.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Reds's ATS record as as underdog?
The Cincinnati Reds have an ATS record of 370-87-1 as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 81% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Reds as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cincinnati Reds as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 54.6% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have earned $54.60 profit for every $100 wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Reds' 81% ATS rate as underdogs represents one of the most profitable betting trends in MLB.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.