The Cincinnati Reds show mixed results as one day rest. Since 2014, they're 87-76-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record87-76-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size164 games
ROI+1.9%
Units Won+3.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-9-00.0%-31.8%
20155-3-00.0%+19.3%
201610-3-00.0%+46.9%
20176-10-00.0%-28.4%
201810-10-00.0%-4.5%
20199-8-10.0%+1.1%
20206-4-00.0%+14.6%
202115-7-00.0%+30.2%
20226-5-00.0%+4.1%
20239-6-00.0%+14.6%
20246-11-00.0%-32.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Reds' struggles on one day of rest stem from their organizational approach to roster management and bullpen usage patterns that have persisted across multiple seasons. Cincinnati's pitching staff historically lacks the depth needed to maintain effectiveness with compressed rest, particularly in their middle relief corps where fatigue compounds quickly. The team's reliance on younger, less experienced arms in crucial situations becomes magnified when recovery time is limited, leading to poor execution in high-leverage moments. Cincinnati's offensive approach also suffers with abbreviated rest periods. The Reds have traditionally featured a lineup built around aggressive early-count swinging, which becomes less effective when players are mentally and physically fatigued. Their plate discipline deteriorates noticeably, resulting in shorter at-bats and increased pressure on an already-stretched pitching staff. The team's home ballpark factors don't provide the usual advantage when dealing with fatigue-related performance drops. Smart bettors should target fading Cincinnati in day games following night contests, particularly during summer months when heat compounds fatigue issues. The trend becomes most profitable when the Reds face well-rested opponents with deeper bullpens, creating a clear mismatch in available resources and execution quality.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cincinnati Reds's ATS record as one day rest?

The Cincinnati Reds have an 87-76-1 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.4% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Cincinnati Reds as one day rest profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cincinnati Reds with one day of rest has been profitable with a positive 1.9% ROI. Despite the modest return, this represents consistent value over the 164 games in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Reds' 53.4% ATS rate on one day rest is above the typical 50% league baseline for ATS performance. The positive 1.9% ROI also indicates better than average betting value in this specific situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.