Cincinnati Reds Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Cincinnati Reds show mixed results as away vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 72-59-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2015 | 7-9-0 | 0.0% | -16.5% |
| 2016 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2017 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2018 | 9-5-0 | 0.0% | +22.7% |
| 2019 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2020 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 11-5-0 | 0.0% | +31.2% |
| 2022 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 10-3-0 | 0.0% | +46.9% |
| 2024 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Reds' strong performance against division rivals on the road stems from their ability to play spoiler when expectations are lowest. Cincinnati has historically thrived in the underdog role, particularly when facing familiar opponents who may overlook them in hostile environments. Division games carry extra intensity regardless of records, and the Reds have consistently risen to match that energy when playing away from the Great American Ball Park. Their success pattern reflects a team that performs better under pressure than in comfortable situations. The franchise's blue-collar identity translates well to road environments where they can embrace the villain role against division foes. Cincinnati's pitching staff has traditionally been more effective when facing lineups they've studied extensively, while their hitters seem to benefit from the familiarity of seeing division pitchers multiple times throughout the season. The psychological edge comes from having nothing to lose in these spots. When the Reds travel to face division rivals, they often enter as betting underdogs, which removes pressure while maintaining competitive fire that comes with divisional hatred. This trend carries the most weight during the final two months of the season when division standings create urgency, making these games unpredictable and valuable for contrarian bettors.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Reds's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Cincinnati Reds have a 72-59-0 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55.0% ATS win rate over 131 games.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Reds as away vs division rival profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cincinnati Reds as away underdogs against division rivals has been profitable with a 4.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, their actual win rate in these games is 0.0%.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 55.0% ATS win rate is above the typical 50% baseline expected in sports betting. The 4.9% ROI indicates consistent value, though specific league average comparisons would require additional divisional rival data.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.