The public often underestimates the Cincinnati Reds in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Cincinnati Reds hold a record of 91-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +57.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $64 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record91-19-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size110 games
ROI+57.9%
Units Won+63.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-1-00.0%+69.7%
20158-0-00.0%+90.9%
201610-1-00.0%+73.5%
20179-2-00.0%+56.2%
201814-2-00.0%+67.0%
20196-2-00.0%+43.2%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
202110-2-00.0%+59.1%
20228-1-00.0%+69.7%
202311-3-00.0%+50.0%
20245-2-00.0%+36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Reds' exceptional performance as away underdogs following wins stems from a perfect storm of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When Cincinnati captures a victory, particularly on the road, it often signals that their pitching staff has found a rhythm and their young hitters are seeing the ball well. The team's historically strong bullpen depth allows them to maintain leads in hostile environments, while their scrappy offensive approach tends to flourish when confidence is high. Sportsbooks consistently undervalue teams coming off wins in unfavorable road spots, especially smaller-market clubs like Cincinnati. The betting public gravitates toward home favorites, creating inflated lines that fail to account for the Reds' ability to carry positive momentum from game to game. Cincinnati's organizational philosophy emphasizes situational hitting and opportunistic baserunning, skills that become magnified when players are mentally locked in after recent success. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that this trend amplifies during stretches when the Reds' starting rotation is healthy and their bullpen isn't overworked. Look for maximum value when Cincinnati is catching significant plus-money as road dogs following quality wins, particularly against division rivals where familiarity breeds competitive intensity and the margins between teams narrow considerably.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cincinnati Reds's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Cincinnati Reds have an outstanding 91-19-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 82.7% ATS win rate over 110 games.

Is betting on the Cincinnati Reds as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cincinnati Reds as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 57.9% ROI. This represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This trend significantly outperforms the typical 50% ATS expectation, with the Reds covering at an 82.7% rate in this situation. The 57.9% ROI is exceptionally high compared to most profitable betting systems which typically yield 5-15% ROI.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.