The data suggests caution when backing the Cincinnati Reds in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive losses, the Cincinnati Reds are just 448-472-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record448-472-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size922 games
ROI-7.0%
Units Won-64.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201435-41-00.0%-12.1%
201536-37-00.0%-5.8%
201641-45-00.0%-9.0%
201739-55-00.0%-20.8%
201852-44-00.0%+3.4%
201944-41-10.0%-1.2%
202025-43-00.0%-29.8%
202149-36-10.0%+10.1%
202240-41-00.0%-5.7%
202354-43-00.0%+6.3%
202433-46-00.0%-20.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Reds' struggles following consecutive losses stem from a combination of organizational culture and roster construction that has plagued the franchise for much of the past decade. Cincinnati has historically operated with limited payroll flexibility, often fielding lineups heavy on young, inexperienced players who lack the mental fortitude to quickly bounce back from adversity. When facing elimination-type pressure after multiple losses, these younger players tend to press at the plate and make defensive miscues that compound their problems. The team's pitching depth has been another critical factor. The Reds have frequently relied on backend rotation arms and inexperienced relievers who struggle to stop losing streaks once they begin. Their bullpen construction often forces overuse of key arms during losing stretches, creating a cascade effect where tired relievers blow leads and extend the skid. Additionally, manager decisions during these periods have historically been conservative, with the organization showing reluctance to make bold tactical adjustments that could spark turnarounds. Smart bettors should target Cincinnati as fade candidates when they're coming off back-to-back losses, particularly during road series where the psychological pressure intensifies. This trend carries the most weight during crucial divisional matchups in the second half of the season when playoff implications amplify the mental burden.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cincinnati Reds's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive losses?

The Cincinnati Reds have an ATS record of 448-472-2 when betting on them after 2+ consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.7% win rate against the spread in these situations.

Is betting on the Cincinnati Reds as after 2+ consecutive losses profitable?

No, betting on the Cincinnati Reds after 2+ consecutive losses has not been profitable, showing a -7.0% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost money consistently following this strategy.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 48.7% ATS win rate is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. The -7.0% ROI indicates underperformance compared to typical betting expectations, though specific league average data would be needed for precise comparison.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.