The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago White Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Chicago White Sox are just 19-82-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -64.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +64.1%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record19-82-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size101 games
ROI-64.1%
Units Won-64.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-11-00.0%-84.1%
20152-9-00.0%-65.3%
20162-7-00.0%-57.6%
20171-6-00.0%-72.7%
20180-6-00.0%-100.0%
20192-9-00.0%-65.3%
20204-3-00.0%+9.1%
20214-7-00.0%-30.6%
20220-6-00.0%-100.0%
20232-10-00.0%-68.2%
20241-8-00.0%-78.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The White Sox's dismal performance as home favorites after losses stems from a toxic combination of organizational dysfunction and mental fragility that has plagued the franchise for years. When this team faces adversity, they consistently crumble under the weight of expectations rather than responding with resilience. The psychological burden of being favored at home after already disappointing fans creates a pressure cooker environment that exposes their lack of veteran leadership and championship mentality. Chicago's roster construction has historically favored talent over character, resulting in teams that look good on paper but lack the mental toughness to bounce back from setbacks. Their pitching staff, often built around aging veterans or unproven commodities, tends to compound problems by failing to provide the shutdown performance needed to reset team momentum. The franchise's culture of underachievement becomes most apparent in these spot situations where mental strength matters more than raw ability. Smart bettors should consistently fade the White Sox in this scenario, particularly when the betting public inflates their odds based on name recognition or recent individual performances. This trend carries the most weight during the middle months of the season when organizational weaknesses become fully exposed and the team's true character emerges under sustained pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago White Sox's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?

The Chicago White Sox have an ATS record of 19-82-0 (18.8% win rate) as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst situational betting trends in MLB over this period.

Is betting on the Chicago White Sox as home favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago White Sox as home favorites after a loss is extremely unprofitable with a -64.1% ROI. This trend has lost money consistently, making it one to avoid for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams cover around 50% of their games ATS. The White Sox's 18.8% win rate in this situation is exceptionally poor compared to typical MLB betting trends.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.