Chicago White Sox Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Chicago White Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Chicago White Sox hold a record of 175-46-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +51.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $113 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 16-5-0 | 0.0% | +45.5% |
| 2015 | 21-3-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2016 | 26-9-0 | 0.0% | +41.8% |
| 2017 | 12-4-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 18-1-0 | 0.0% | +80.9% |
| 2019 | 13-8-0 | 0.0% | +18.2% |
| 2020 | 18-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 10-6-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2022 | 12-1-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2023 | 14-4-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2024 | 15-5-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The White Sox home underdog success stems from a perfect storm of market inefficiency and organizational identity. Chicago has historically been undervalued by oddsmakers when playing at home, largely due to their inconsistent regular season performance masking their ability to elevate their game in specific situations. The team's pitching-first approach becomes magnified at Guaranteed Rate Park, where their staff has consistently outperformed expectations against quality opponents who enter as favorites. Market perception plays a crucial role here. The White Sox often find themselves as home underdogs against division rivals or playoff contenders, creating inflated lines that don't account for their competitive edge in familiar surroundings. Their hitters have shown remarkable patience and situational awareness when facing superior pitching staffs, working deep counts and capitalizing on mistake pitches. The team's bullpen depth, while sometimes questioned in broader contexts, has proven reliable in these high-leverage home situations. Bettors should target White Sox home underdog spots specifically when they're facing teams with recent road struggles or when Chicago is coming off a poor road trip, as the market tends to overreact to their away form. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and interleague play when line value is typically at its peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Chicago White Sox's ATS record as home underdog?
The Chicago White Sox have an ATS record of 175-46-0 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents 221 total games with a strong against-the-spread performance.
Is betting on the Chicago White Sox as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Chicago White Sox as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 51.2% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This indicates consistent value when the White Sox are getting points at home.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 79.2% ATS win rate (175-46) significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. The 51.2% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to standard sportsbook margins.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.