Boston Red Sox Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Boston Red Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Boston Red Sox hold a record of 161-121-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $25 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-16-0 | 0.0% | -31.3% |
| 2015 | 6-13-0 | 0.0% | -39.7% |
| 2016 | 16-9-0 | 0.0% | +22.2% |
| 2017 | 22-11-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 16-9-0 | 0.0% | +22.2% |
| 2019 | 13-10-0 | 0.0% | +7.9% |
| 2020 | 15-11-0 | 0.0% | +10.1% |
| 2021 | 20-12-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2022 | 17-9-0 | 0.0% | +24.8% |
| 2023 | 14-11-0 | 0.0% | +6.9% |
| 2024 | 13-10-0 | 0.0% | +7.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Red Sox's strong performance with extended rest stems from their organizational philosophy of maximizing pitcher effectiveness and strategic lineup optimization. Boston has historically built rosters around veteran players who benefit significantly from additional recovery time, particularly their aging core that dominated the late 2010s. The extra days allow their pitching staff to reset rotations more effectively, often enabling them to deploy their ace starters in optimal matchups rather than following strict rotation schedules. Boston's analytical front office has long recognized that extended rest creates opportunities for tactical advantages. They've consistently used these breaks to address minor injuries, adjust batting orders based on matchup data, and implement strategic bullpen management. The team's medical and conditioning staff has also been among MLB's most progressive, helping players maintain peak performance levels when returning from longer layoffs. The psychological factor cannot be understated - Red Sox players have historically thrived under the pressure of high expectations, and the extended preparation time allows them to approach games with enhanced focus and game-planning. This trend becomes most valuable when betting on Boston returning from All-Star breaks, extended road trips, or weather-related postponements where the rest advantage is most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The Boston Red Sox have an ATS record of 161-121-0 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.1% ATS win rate over 282 games.
Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as three or more days rest profitable?
Yes, betting on the Boston Red Sox with three or more days rest has been profitable with a 9.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 161-121 ATS record demonstrates consistent value against the spread in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 57.1% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. The 9.0% ROI indicates the Red Sox provide above-average betting value when well-rested.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.