The Boston Red Sox show mixed results as two days rest. Since 2014, they're 55-54-2 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.7%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record55-54-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size111 games
ROI-3.7%
Units Won-4.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-5-00.0%-4.5%
20157-9-10.0%-16.5%
20164-4-00.0%-4.5%
20174-4-00.0%-4.5%
20187-3-10.0%+33.6%
20192-10-00.0%-68.2%
20209-5-00.0%+22.7%
20213-2-00.0%+14.6%
20223-5-00.0%-28.4%
20234-5-00.0%-15.2%
20247-2-00.0%+48.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Red Sox's middling performance on two days rest reflects the organization's historically cautious approach to pitcher management and roster construction. Boston has traditionally relied on veteran starters who benefit from extended rest periods, making quick turnarounds more challenging than for teams built around younger, more resilient arms. This philosophical difference becomes particularly pronounced during compressed schedules when the Red Sox often turn to less reliable bullpen pieces or spot starters. The team's inconsistent results in these situations stem from their tendency to prioritize long-term player health over short-term tactical advantages. When forced into two-day rest scenarios, Boston frequently shuffles their rotation or deploys pitchers outside their comfort zones, creating unpredictable matchups that oddsmakers struggle to properly price. The variance in their recent seasonal performance suggests these games often hinge on which version of their depth chart shows up. Smart bettors should focus on the specific pitching matchup rather than blindly following this trend, as the Red Sox's approach creates opportunities when the market overreacts to their rest disadvantage. This pattern matters most during late-season playoff pushes when Boston's conservative roster management clashes with urgent competitive needs.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as two days rest?

The Boston Red Sox have a 55-54-2 against the spread (ATS) record when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 50.5% ATS win rate over 111 total games.

Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Boston Red Sox with two days rest has not been profitable, showing a -3.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their near .500 ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice/vigorish.

How does this compare to the league average?

Without specific league average data provided, the Red Sox's 50.5% ATS rate with two days rest appears close to the expected 50% baseline. However, the negative ROI suggests they've underperformed expectations when factoring in betting odds.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.