The public often underestimates the Boston Red Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Boston Red Sox hold a record of 405-85-3 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +57.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $285 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record405-85-3
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size493 games
ROI+57.8%
Units Won+283.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201428-14-00.0%+27.3%
201539-12-10.0%+46.0%
201640-7-00.0%+62.5%
201736-4-00.0%+71.8%
201835-4-10.0%+71.3%
201941-10-00.0%+53.5%
202038-3-00.0%+76.9%
202134-5-10.0%+66.4%
202246-9-00.0%+59.7%
202329-8-00.0%+49.6%
202439-9-00.0%+55.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Red Sox's exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of thriving under pressure and defying expectations. Boston's veteran-heavy lineups historically respond well to the spotlight, with players like David Ortiz, Mookie Betts, and Xander Bogaerts elevating their games when the stakes feel highest. The team's front office has consistently built rosters with playoff experience, creating a clubhouse mentality that embraces the underdog role rather than shrinking from it. Strategically, manager decisions become more aggressive in primetime spots when Boston is getting plus money. This manifests in earlier bullpen usage, more stolen base attempts, and pinch-hitting moves that catch opponents off-guard. The Red Sox also benefit from Fenway Park's unique dimensions during nationally televised games, as visiting pitchers often struggle with the Green Monster's psychological impact under the bright lights. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when Boston enters primetime games with their best starting pitchers rested and their lineup healthy. The combination of veteran leadership and aggressive in-game management creates consistent value. This trend matters most during interleague play and weekend national broadcasts when the Red Sox face unfamiliar opponents who may underestimate their primetime intensity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Boston Red Sox have an ATS record of 405-85-3 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 82.6% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.

Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Red Sox as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 57.8% ROI. This means a $100 bettor would have earned $57.80 in profit for every $100 wagered over this trend.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the typical league average, as most ATS trends hover around 50% win rates. The Red Sox's 82.6% ATS success rate as primetime underdogs represents an elite-level betting trend.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.