Boston Red Sox Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Boston Red Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Boston Red Sox hold a record of 79-59-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $13 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2015 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2016 | 10-5-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 7-7-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2019 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2020 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2022 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2023 | 12-5-0 | 0.0% | +34.8% |
| 2024 | 7-7-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Red Sox's strong home performance against division rivals stems from Fenway Park's unique psychological and strategic advantages. The Green Monster creates distinct offensive and defensive dynamics that Boston players know intimately while visiting AL East opponents must adjust their approach. Red Sox hitters historically leverage the short left field for doubles and strategic singles, while their pitchers understand how to work the zone knowing the wall's positioning affects opposing batters' timing and approach. Boston's organizational culture emphasizes rivalry games, particularly at Fenway where the intimate atmosphere amplifies crowd energy during Yankees, Rays, Orioles, and Blue Jays matchups. The front office has consistently constructed rosters with players who thrive in high-pressure situations, understanding that division games carry playoff implications and require mental toughness. This preparation shows in their ability to exceed betting expectations when hosting familiar foes. The trend's sustainability relies on Boston maintaining competitive rosters and Fenway's continued home-field advantages. Smart bettors should target Red Sox home games against division opponents when the team shows signs of playoff contention, as motivation peaks during these crucial matchups. This trend matters most during summer months when division standings tighten and every head-to-head game carries amplified importance for October positioning.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Boston Red Sox have gone 79-59-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 57.2% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as home vs division rival profitable?
Yes, betting on the Boston Red Sox at home vs division rivals has been profitable with a 9.3% return on investment (ROI). Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate shown, their ATS performance has generated consistent value for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 57.2% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average expected in spread betting. The 9.3% ROI indicates strong long-term profitability compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.