Boston Red Sox Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Boston Red Sox in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Boston Red Sox are just 22-90-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -62.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +62.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-12-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2016 | 1-8-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2017 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2018 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2019 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2020 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2021 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2022 | 7-12-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
| 2023 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Red Sox's struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a combination of psychological fragility and organizational inconsistency that has plagued the franchise through multiple rebuilding cycles. When Boston enters hostile territory carrying the weight of expectations after a defeat, they often compound their problems with pressing and overaggressive play. The team's historically volatile clubhouse chemistry becomes magnified on the road, where veteran leadership has frequently failed to steady younger players during adversity. Boston's analytical approach to roster construction has created lineups that look impressive on paper but lack the gritty, situational awareness needed to bounce back in unfamiliar environments. Their pitching staff, particularly the bullpen, has shown a tendency to implode when carrying leads in road games following losses, suggesting mental toughness issues that transcend individual seasons. The organization's revolving door of managers and coaching philosophies has prevented the development of consistent road game preparation and in-game adjustments. Sharp bettors should target fading Boston in this exact scenario, especially when they're laying moderate chalk against divisional opponents who know their tendencies well. This trend carries maximum value during summer months when travel fatigue peaks and clubhouse tensions typically escalate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Boston Red Sox have a 22-90-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 19.6% ATS win rate over 112 games.
Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Red Sox as away favorites after a loss is highly unprofitable with a -62.5% ROI. This represents one of the worst betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Red Sox's 19.6% rate in this situation is exceptionally poor and represents a strong fade opportunity.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.