The Boston Red Sox show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 225-213-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record225-213-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size439 games
ROI-1.9%
Units Won-8.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-20-00.0%-28.4%
201519-25-00.0%-17.6%
201623-18-00.0%+7.1%
201724-17-00.0%+11.8%
201824-14-00.0%+20.6%
201918-25-00.0%-20.1%
202019-15-00.0%+6.7%
202117-15-10.0%+1.4%
202224-23-00.0%-2.5%
202319-20-00.0%-7.0%
202426-21-00.0%+5.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Red Sox's mediocre performance after wins reflects a franchise caught between championship expectations and roster inconsistency over the past decade. Boston's organizational culture, built on high standards and veteran leadership, often creates internal pressure to maintain momentum after victories. However, this same pressure can lead to overconfidence against weaker opponents or mental letdowns when facing quality teams the following day. The team's struggles particularly manifest in day games following night victories, where Boston's aging core and reliance on veteran position players shows fatigue. Their pitching staff depth issues compound this problem, as back-end starters and middle relievers often can't sustain the quality needed to capitalize on offensive momentum from previous games. The Red Sox also tend to face tougher betting lines after impressive wins, as public money inflates their odds despite underlying roster limitations. Boston's post-win inconsistency stems from their feast-or-famine offensive approach, which doesn't translate consistently across consecutive games. When their power hitters go cold after big offensive performances, they lack the manufacturing ability to scratch out runs against quality pitching. This trend becomes most exploitable when Boston faces divisional rivals or quality starting pitching after offensive outbursts, particularly in day games or when listed as road favorites.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Boston Red Sox's ATS record as after a win?

The Boston Red Sox have gone 225-213-1 against the spread (ATS) after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a slightly above .500 record with 225 wins, 213 losses, and 1 push over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Boston Red Sox as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Boston Red Sox after a win has not been profitable, showing a -1.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their winning ATS record, the negative return indicates that juice/vig has eroded profits over time.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is roughly in line with league average expectations. Most teams hover around 50% ATS in situational spots, and the Red Sox's 51.4% win rate after victories falls within typical variance ranges for MLB teams.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.