Baltimore Orioles Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Baltimore Orioles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Baltimore Orioles hold a record of 47-28-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +19.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $15 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2015 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2017 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2018 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021 | 5-4-1 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2022 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2023 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2024 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Orioles' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a scrappy, defensively-minded team that thrives when expectations are modest. Baltimore has historically built rosters around pitching depth and opportunistic offense rather than star power, creating a team chemistry that responds well to being slightly overlooked by oddsmakers. Small underdog spots typically occur against divisional rivals or quality opponents where the talent gap isn't substantial, allowing Baltimore's fundamentally sound approach to neutralize superior talent through execution. The psychological element cannot be understated. When facing small spreads, the Orioles aren't dealing with the pressure of being heavy favorites or the resignation that comes with being massive underdogs. This sweet spot allows them to play loose, aggressive baseball while maintaining focus on the small details that win close games. Their bullpen construction and defensive positioning have consistently given them advantages in tight contests where every run matters. The key insight for bettors is targeting Baltimore as small road underdogs in divisional matchups, where their familiarity with opponents and lack of pressure to perform creates optimal conditions. This trend holds most value during the middle months of the season when lineups are settled and the team has found its identity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Baltimore Orioles's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Baltimore Orioles have a 47-28-1 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.7% ATS win rate over 76 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Baltimore Orioles as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Baltimore Orioles as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been highly profitable with a 19.6% ROI. Their 62.7% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the breakeven point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Orioles' 62.7% win rate and 19.6% ROI in this spot represents a significant edge over typical expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.