Baltimore Orioles Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Baltimore Orioles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Baltimore Orioles hold a record of 83-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +65.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $62 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2015 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2016 | 14-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2018 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2019 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2022 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2023 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2024 | 13-1-0 | 0.0% | +77.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Orioles' remarkable success as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When Baltimore wins on the road or at home, they return to Camden Yards with confidence intact, yet oddsmakers often undervalue this emotional lift, particularly when facing stronger opponents on paper. The team feeds off their home crowd's energy after positive results, creating an environment where players exceed expectations against supposedly superior competition. Baltimore's organizational culture under recent management has emphasized resilience and opportunistic play, traits that become amplified when they're dismissed by the betting market despite coming off wins. The Orioles have historically featured scrappy lineups that thrive in underdog roles, with hitters who work counts and pitchers who elevate their performance in front of supportive home fans. This dynamic becomes especially pronounced when facing divisional rivals or playoff contenders who may approach these games with less intensity than Baltimore brings. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Orioles are getting inflated underdog odds due to opponent reputation rather than actual form and matchup dynamics. This trend carries maximum value when Baltimore faces teams on lengthy road trips or clubs playing their fourth game in a challenging series, as the home momentum advantage compounds significantly.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Baltimore Orioles's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Baltimore Orioles have an outstanding 83-13-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents an 86.5% ATS win rate over 96 games.
Is betting on the Baltimore Orioles as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Orioles as home underdogs after a win has been extremely profitable with a 65.1% ROI. This trend has generated consistent returns over the 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as most teams struggle to maintain above 55% ATS rates in any specific situation. The Orioles' 86.5% ATS rate in this scenario is exceptionally rare and well above typical benchmarks.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.