Baltimore Orioles Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Baltimore Orioles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Baltimore Orioles hold a record of 168-28-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +63.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $125 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 17-4-0 | 0.0% | +54.5% |
| 2015 | 14-2-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2016 | 18-1-0 | 0.0% | +80.9% |
| 2017 | 18-4-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2018 | 13-3-0 | 0.0% | +55.1% |
| 2019 | 13-2-0 | 0.0% | +65.5% |
| 2020 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 11-3-1 | 0.0% | +50.0% |
| 2022 | 19-3-0 | 0.0% | +64.9% |
| 2023 | 14-2-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2024 | 22-1-0 | 0.0% | +82.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Orioles' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their organizational identity as scrappy overachievers who thrive when expectations are low. Baltimore's young core, built through smart player development rather than big-money signings, creates a team chemistry that feeds off the underdog mentality. When oddsmakers undervalue them at Camden Yards, they're typically overlooking the Orioles' ability to manufacture runs through aggressive baserunning and clutch hitting in familiar surroundings. Camden Yards provides a significant home-field advantage that betting markets consistently underestimate, particularly the dimensions that favor Baltimore's contact-heavy approach and the way afternoon games create challenging shadows for visiting pitchers. The organization's analytical approach helps them exploit specific matchup advantages that casual observers miss, while their bullpen depth allows them to steal games late when opponents expect easy victories. The psychological element cannot be understated - this franchise has historically played with a chip on their shoulder, and being labeled underdogs at home only amplifies that motivation. Their recent success has created a winning culture where players expect to compete regardless of public perception. This trend matters most during divisional matchups and day games, where familiarity with Camden Yards creates the largest gap between perception and reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Baltimore Orioles's ATS record as home underdog?
The Baltimore Orioles have an outstanding 168-28-1 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a remarkable 85.7% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Baltimore Orioles as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Baltimore Orioles as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 63.6% ROI. This means a $100 bet on each game would have returned $63.60 in profit on average.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Orioles' 85.7% ATS rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms typical expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.