The Baltimore Orioles show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 215-209-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record215-209-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size424 games
ROI-3.2%
Units Won-13.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201418-17-00.0%-1.8%
201521-20-00.0%-2.2%
201624-19-00.0%+6.5%
201721-19-00.0%+0.2%
201823-22-00.0%-2.4%
201919-18-00.0%-2.0%
202010-15-00.0%-23.6%
202119-22-00.0%-11.5%
202217-24-00.0%-20.8%
202321-20-00.0%-2.2%
202422-13-00.0%+20.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Orioles' mediocre performance after wins reflects the psychological volatility that has defined this franchise through its rebuilding years. Baltimore's young core, built around emerging stars like Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson, often struggles with the mental adjustment that comes after breakthrough victories. This team has historically lacked the veteran leadership necessary to maintain consistent focus following positive results, leading to emotional letdowns against the spread. Baltimore's pitching depth issues compound this problem significantly. After using key relievers in close wins, the Orioles frequently find themselves vulnerable in subsequent games, particularly when facing teams with strong offensive depth. Their bullpen management has improved under Brandon Hyde, but the franchise still lacks the reliable back-end arms that allow elite teams to maintain momentum across consecutive games. The organizational culture shift toward analytics-driven decision making has created some inconsistency in game-to-game preparation, as younger players adapt to data-heavy approaches that can sometimes override natural competitive instincts. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Baltimore after emotional home victories against division rivals, when the psychological letdown factor becomes most pronounced and opposing teams arrive with extra motivation to respond.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Baltimore Orioles's ATS record as after a win?

The Baltimore Orioles have gone 215-209-0 against the spread after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 50.7% ATS win rate over 424 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Baltimore Orioles as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Baltimore Orioles after a win has not been profitable, showing a -3.2% ROI over the 11-year period. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates poor long-term betting value.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is roughly average compared to league standards, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. However, the negative ROI suggests the Orioles have been slightly overvalued by oddsmakers in post-win situations.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.