Atlanta Braves vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Braves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Atlanta Braves are just 144-163-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 15-15-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2016 | 13-16-0 | 0.0% | -14.4% |
| 2017 | 22-11-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 11-19-0 | 0.0% | -30.0% |
| 2019 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 14-19-0 | 0.0% | -19.0% |
| 2021 | 10-11-0 | 0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2022 | 9-17-0 | 0.0% | -33.9% |
| 2023 | 10-18-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2024 | 22-13-0 | 0.0% | +20.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Braves' struggles against divisional opponents stem from the inherent challenges of playing teams that know your tendencies intimately. NL East rivals have extensive scouting reports on Atlanta's pitching patterns, hitter approaches, and tactical preferences, creating a familiarity that often neutralizes the Braves' advantages. This divisional knowledge becomes particularly problematic for Atlanta's power-heavy lineup, as opposing pitchers can exploit specific weaknesses that become apparent over multiple series throughout the season. Atlanta's organizational philosophy has historically emphasized building for sustained success rather than short-term divisional dominance, sometimes leading to roster construction that performs better against varied competition than familiar foes. The team's reliance on younger players during rebuilding years also contributed to inconsistent divisional performance, as inexperienced players often struggle more against opponents who can gameplan specifically for their tendencies. The recent uptick in form suggests improved organizational depth and veteran leadership, but divisional games remain uniquely challenging due to increased emotional intensity and strategic familiarity. Bettors should be particularly cautious when backing Atlanta in divisional series where the opposing team has recent success, as these matchups often produce closer-than-expected outcomes regardless of talent disparities. This trend matters most during crucial late-season divisional series when playoff implications amplify the strategic chess match between familiar opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Braves's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Atlanta Braves have a 144-163-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.9% ATS win rate over 307 total games.
Is betting on the Atlanta Braves as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Atlanta Braves against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -10.4% ROI over the past decade. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Atlanta in divisional matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Braves' 46.9% ATS win rate against division opponents is below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS performance. Their -10.4% ROI significantly underperforms compared to break-even betting expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.